Soccer predictions that measure home, draw and away probabilities separately.
Soccer is a three-outcome forecasting problem. Diamond Forecast therefore evaluates home, draw and away probabilities separately instead of forcing every match into a two-team winner framework.
Soccer latest
Today's board • October 17, 2026
Member-only predictions
Recent results
Three-way calibration
The soccer learning layer tracks Home/Draw/Away calibration, three-way Brier score, log loss and draw-rate behavior. That makes systematic draw underprediction visible instead of burying it inside a single win percentage.
Poisson and rating context
Goal expectation and team-rating information contribute to the soccer model, with league and recent-form context available for evaluation in challenger experiments.
Provider resilience
Soccer schedule refreshes use bounded providers and last-known-good behavior. A provider outage should not overwrite a useful non-empty fixture cache with an empty schedule.
Important: Diamond Forecast publishes probabilities and model analysis, not guarantees. Sports outcomes contain real uncertainty. Qualified picks and parlays can lose, and users should never wager money they cannot afford to lose.